The change and variability of snow cover in Kraków in a 100-year observation series
PDF

Keywords

snow cover change
climate change
winter
Kraków

How to Cite

Piotrowicz, K., & Falarz, M. (2023). The change and variability of snow cover in Kraków in a 100-year observation series. Quaestiones Geographicae, 42(3), 213–222. https://doi.org/10.14746/quageo-2023-0031

Abstract

This article presents the results of research on the changes and variability of snow cover in Kraków in the 100-year period 1921/22–2020/21 and in its two sub-periods covering the years of the slow and rapid territorial, urban and industrial development of Kraków (respectively, 1921/22–1960/61 and 1961/62–2020/21). The long-term variability of the number of days with snow cover, the maximum depth of the snow layer, the dates of the beginning and end of snow cover duration in the winter season, the potential snow cover duration and the index of snow cover stability were analysed. The directions of changes in the snow cover in the last 100 winter seasons in Kraków correspond to the global changes in air temperature presented in the latest IPCC reports: until the end of the 1950s there were no significant trends, or only small trends were observed, whereas from the beginning of the 1960s faster changes in the snow cover duration and maximum seasonal snow depth have been visible. In the last 60 years (1961/62–2020/21), the impact of global changes in Kraków has been joined by the impact of territorial, demographic and industrial development of the city, causing significant negative trends in snow cover with relative values of less than −9% ∙ 10 years−1, both in the case of snow cover duration and its maximum depth in the winter season; these changes are statistically significant. Throughout the whole 100-year period (1921/22–2020/21) and in its second part (1961/62–2020/21), a decrease in snow cover stability has also been observed.

https://doi.org/10.14746/quageo-2023-0031
PDF

References

Annella C., Budillon G., Capozzi V., 2023. On the role of local and large-scale atmospheric variability in snow cover duration: A case study of Montevergine Observatory (Southern Italy). Environmental Research Communications 5(3)031005: 1-10. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acc3e3

Bednorz E., 2004. Snow cover in Eastern Europe in relation to temperature, precipitation and circulation. International Journal of Climatology 24(5): 591-601. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1014

Bokwa A., 2011. The urban heat island in Kraków, Poland: Interaction between land use and relief. Moravian Geographical Reports 19(3): 2-7.

Brown I., 2019. Snow cover duration and extent for Great Britain in a changing climate: altitudinal variations and synoptic-scale influences. International Journal of Climatology 39(12): 4611-4626. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6090

Brown R.D., Robinson D.A., 2011. Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover variability and change over 1922-2010 including an assessment of uncertainty. Cryosphere 5(1): 219-229. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-219-2011

Bulygina O.N., Razuvaev V.N., Korshunova N.N., 2009. Changes in snow cover over Northern Eurasia in the last few decades. Environmental Research Letters 4(4), 045026. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045026

Capozzi V., De Vivo C., Budillon G., 2022. Synoptic control over winter snowfall variability observed in a remote site of Apennine Mountains (Italy), 1884-2015. The Cryosphere 16(5): 1741-1763. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1741-2022

Choi G., Robinson D.A., Kang S., 2010. Changing Northern Hemisphere snow seasons. Journal of Climate 23: 5305-5310. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3644.1

Czarnecka M., 2012. Częstość występowania i grubość pokrywy śnieżnej w Polsce. Acta Agrophysica 19(3): 501-514.

Dong C., Menzel L., 2019. Recent snow cover changes over central European low mountain ranges. Hydrological Processes 34(2): 321-338. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13586

Dyrrdal A.V., Saloranta T., Skaugen T., Stranden H.B., 2013. Changes in snow depth in Norway during the period 1961-2010. Hydrology Research 44(1): 169-179. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2012.064

Falarz M., 1998. Wieloletnia zmienność pokrywy śnieżnej w Krakowie na tle zmian w obszarach podmiejskich. Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Geographica Physica 3: 473-481.

Falarz M., 2002. Long-term variability in reconstructed and observed snow cover over the last 100 winter seasons in Cracow and Zakopane (southern Poland). Climate Research 19(3): 247-256. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr019247

Falarz M., 2004. Variability and trends in the duration and depth of snow cover in Poland in the 20th Century. International Journal of Climatology 24: 1713-1727. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1093

Falarz M., 2007a. Pokrywa śnieżna. In: Matuszko D. (ed.), Klimat Krakowa w XX wieku. IGiGP UJ, Kraków: 139-147.

Falarz M., 2007b. Snow cover variability in Poland in relation to the macro- and mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the 20th century. International Journal of Climatology 27: 2069-2081. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1505

Falarz M., 2008. Changes of extreme nival conditions in Poland during the second half of the 20th century. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 17(3): 339-444. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0293

Falarz M., 2013. Seasonal stability of snow cover in Poland in relation to the atmospheric circulation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 111(1-2): 21-28. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0642-x

Falarz M., Bednorz E., 2021. Snow cover change. In: Falarz M. (ed.), Climate change in Poland: Past, present, future. Springer, Cham: 375-390. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70328-8_14

Falarz M., Nowosad M., Bednorz E., Rasmus S., 2018. Review of Polish contribution to snow cover research (1880-2017). Quaestiones Geographicae 37(1): 7-22. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2018-0002

Fontrodona Bach A., van der Schrier G., Melsen L.A., Klein Tank A.M.G., Teuling A.J., 2018. Widespread and accelerated decrease of observed mean and extreme snow depth over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters 45: 312-319. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079799

Girguś R., 2022. Wyjątki ze źródeł historycznych o nadzwyczajnych zjawiskach hydrologicznych i meteorologicznych na ziemiach polskich w latach 1601-1920. Seria publikacji naukowo-badawczych, IMGW-PIB, Warszawa.

GUS [Główny Urząd Statystyczny], 2022. Bank Danych Lokalnych. Dane dla jednostki terytorialnej. Kraków. Online: stat.gov.pl (accessed 12.09.2022).

Henderson G.R., Leathers D.J., 2010. European snow cover extent variability and associations with atmospheric forcings. International Journal of Climatology 30: 1440-1451. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1990

IPCC [The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change], 2018. Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte V., Zhai P., Pörtner H.-O., Roberts D., Skea J., Shukla P.R., Pirani A., Moufouma-Okia W., Péan C., Pidcock R., Connors S., Matthews J.B.R., Chen Y., Zhou X., Gomis M.I., Lonnoy E., Maycock T., Tignor M., Waterfield T. (eds)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge: 3-24.

IPCC [The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change], 2021. Summary for policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte V., Zhai P., Pirani A., Connors S.L., Péan C., Berger S., Caud N., Chen Y., Goldfarb L., Gomis M.I., Huang M., Leitzell K., Lonnoy E., Matthews J.B.R., Maycock T.K., Waterfield T., Yelekçi O., Yu R., Zhou B. (eds), Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge: 3−32.

Jelonek A., 1956. Liczba ludności miast i osiedli w Polsce w latach 1810-1955. Dokumentacja Geograficzna 5: 1-86.

Kivinen S., Rasmus S., 2015. Observed cold season changes in a Fennoscandian fell area over the past three decades. Ambio 44(3): 214-225. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-014-0541-8

Leśniak B., 1981. Współczynnik trwałości pokrywy śnieżnej na obszarze dorzecza górnej Wisły. Folia Geographica, Series Gographica Physica 14: 89-102.

Maroszek J. (ed), 1999. Wiktoryn Kuczyński. Pamiętniki 1668-1733. Regionalny Ośrodek Studiów i Ochrony Środowiska Kulturowego, Białystok: 1-187.

Mydel R., 1994. Rozwój urbanistyczny miasta Krakowa po drugiej wojnie światowej. Secesja, Kraków: 1-79.

Niedźwiedź T., Ustrnul Z., 2021. Change of atmospheric circulation. In: Falarz M. (ed.), Climate change in Poland: Past, present, future. Springer, Cham: 123-150. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70328-8_6

Pajek M., 2000-2001. Charakterystyka pokrywy śnieżnej w obszarze miejskim i wiejskim na przykładzie Krakowa i Gaika-Brzezowej. Folia Geographica, Series Gographica Physica 31-32: 85-99.

Peng, S., Piao S., Ciais P., Friedlingstein P., Zhou L., Wang T., 2013. Change in snow phenology and its potential feedback to temperature in the Northern Hemisphere over the last three decades. Environmental Research Letters 8, 014008: 1-10. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014008

Piotrowicz K., 1996. Variability of the number of days with snowfall and days with snow cover against the back­ground of air temperature changes in winter in Cracow. In: Obrębska-Starkel B., Niedźwiedź T. (eds), Proceedings of the international conference on climate dynamics and the global change perspective, Cracow, October 17-20 1995. Zeszyty Naukowe UJ, Prace Geograficzne 102: 435-440.

Piotrowicz K., 2003. Variability of the Central European winter thermal structure. Acta Universitatis Wratislaviensis 2542, Studia Geograficzne 75: 108-115.

Popova V., 2007. Winter snow depth variability over northern Eurasia in relation to recent atmospheric circulation changes. International Journal of Climatology 27(13): 1721-1733. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1489

Rimkus E., Briede A., Jaagus J., Stonevicius E., Kilpys J., Viru B., 2018. Snow-cover regime in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia and its relationship to climatic and geographical factors in 1961-2015. Boreal Environment Research 23: 193-208.

Tomczyk A.M., Bednorz E., Szyga-Pluta K., 2021. Changes in air temperature and snow cover in winter in Poland. Atmosphere 12(1): 1-19. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12010068

Trepińska J., 1973. Prawdopodobieństwo występowania pokrywy śnieżnej w Krakowie. Przegląd Geofizyczny 18(1-2): 27-32.

Ustrnul Z., Wypych A., Czekierda D., 2021. Air temperature change. In: Falarz M. (ed.), Climate change in Poland: Past, present, future. Springer, Cham: 275-330. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70328-8_11

Viru B., Jaagus J., 2020. Spatio-temporal variability and seasonal dynamics of snow cover regime in Estonia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 139: 759-771. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-03013-5

Wierzbowski S., 1858. Konnotata wypadków w domu i w kraju zaszłych od 1634 do 1689 r. Księgarnia Zagraniczna, Lipsk: 1-125.

Ye K., Lau N.C., 2017. Influences of surface air temperature and atmospheric circulation on winter snow cover variability over Europe. International Journal of Climatology 37: 2606-2619. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4868