Late Spring Freezes in Poland in Relation to Atmospheric Circulation
PDF

Keywords

freeze
late spring
agroclimate
atmospheric circulation
Poland

How to Cite

Ustrnul, Z., Wypych, A., Winkler, J. A., & Czekierda, D. (2014). Late Spring Freezes in Poland in Relation to Atmospheric Circulation. Quaestiones Geographicae, 33(3), 165–172. https://doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2014-0039

Abstract

Late spring freeze events, a significant agroclimatic hazard, are investigated for Poland. Daily minimum air temperatures from 184 stations for the period 1951-2010 were used to analyze the frequency and conditional probability of late spring freezes. In addition, three classification schemes were employed to investigate the atmospheric circulation responsible for late spring freezes events. The findings suggest that knowledge of the airflow influencing late spring freezes can help to understand the complex historical trends and projected future changes in freeze risk for perennial crops

https://doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2014-0039
PDF

References

Beck C., Philipp A., 2010. Evaluation and comparison of circulation type classifications for the European domain. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 35: 374-387. DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2010.01.001.

Beck C., Philipp A., 2010. Evaluation and comparison of circulation type classifications for the European domain. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 35: 374-387. DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2010.01.001.

Buishand T.A., Brandsma T., 1997. Comparison of circulation classification schemes for predicting temperature and precipitation in the Netherlands. International Journal of Climatology 17: 875-889.

Buishand T.A., Brandsma T., 1997. Comparison of circulation classification schemes for predicting temperature and precipitation in the Netherlands. International Journal of Climatology 17: 875-889.

Chmielewski F.M., Muller A., Bruns E., 2004. Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961-2000. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 121: 69-78. DOI 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00161-8.

Chmielewski F.M., Muller A., Bruns E., 2004. Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961-2000. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 121: 69-78. DOI 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00161-8.

Chmielewski F.M., Rotzer T., 2001. Response of tree phenology to climate change across Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 108: 101-112, DOI 10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00233-7.

Chmielewski F.M., Rotzer T., 2001. Response of tree phenology to climate change across Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 108: 101-112, DOI 10.1016/S0168-1923(01)00233-7.

Eccel E., Rea R., Caffarra A., Crisci A, 2009. Risk of spring frost to apple production under future climate scenarios: the role of phenological acclimation. International Journal of Biometeorology 53: 273-286.

Eccel E., Rea R., Caffarra A., Crisci A, 2009. Risk of spring frost to apple production under future climate scenarios: the role of phenological acclimation. International Journal of Biometeorology 53: 273-286.

Huth R., Beck C., Philipp A., Demuzere M., Ustrnul Z., Cahynova M., Kysely J., Tveito O.E., 2008. Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: recent advances and applications. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 1146: 105-152. DOI: 10.1196/annals.1446.019.

Huth R., Beck C., Philipp A., Demuzere M., Ustrnul Z., Cahynova M., Kysely J., Tveito O.E., 2008. Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: recent advances and applications. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 1146: 105-152. DOI: 10.1196/annals.1446.019.

Kaukoranta, T., Tahvonen R., Ylämäki A., 2010. Climatic potential and risks of apple growing by 2040. Agricultural and Food Science 19: 144-159. DOI 10.2137/145960610791542352

Kaukoranta, T., Tahvonen R., Ylämäki A., 2010. Climatic potential and risks of apple growing by 2040. Agricultural and Food Science 19: 144-159. DOI 10.2137/145960610791542352

Kreyling J., Thiel D., Simmnacher K., Willner E., Jentsch A., Beierkuhnlein C., 2012. Geographic origin and past climatic experience influence the response to late spring frost in four common grass species in central Europe. Ecography 35: 268-275. DOI 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07173.x.

Kreyling J., Thiel D., Simmnacher K., Willner E., Jentsch A., Beierkuhnlein C., 2012. Geographic origin and past climatic experience influence the response to late spring frost in four common grass species in central Europe. Ecography 35: 268-275. DOI 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07173.x.

Lityński J., 1969. Numerical Classification of the Circulation and Weather Types for Poland, Prace PIHM 97: 3-14.

Lityński J., 1969. Numerical Classification of the Circulation and Weather Types for Poland, Prace PIHM 97: 3-14.

Moore G.W.K., Renfrew I.A., 2012. Cold European winters: interplay between the NAO and the East Atlantic mode. Atmos Sci Lett 13: 1-8. DOI: 10.1002/asl.356.

Moore G.W.K., Renfrew I.A., 2012. Cold European winters: interplay between the NAO and the East Atlantic mode. Atmos Sci Lett 13: 1-8. DOI: 10.1002/asl.356.

Niedźwiedź T., 1981. Synoptic situations and their influence on the spatial differentiation of selected climatic elements in the upper Vistula basin. Uniwersytet Jagielloński, Rozprawy habilitacyjne 58, Kraków.

Niedźwiedź T., 1981. Synoptic situations and their influence on the spatial differentiation of selected climatic elements in the upper Vistula basin. Uniwersytet Jagielloński, Rozprawy habilitacyjne 58, Kraków.

Niedźwiedź T., 2000. Dynamics to selected extreme climatic events in Poland. Geographia Polonica 73: 2, 25-39.

Niedźwiedź T., 2000. Dynamics to selected extreme climatic events in Poland. Geographia Polonica 73: 2, 25-39.

Rigby J. R., Porporato A., 2008. Spring frost risk in a changing climate. Geophysical Research Letters 35m L12703. DOI 10.2478/v10117-012-0032-6.

Rigby J. R., Porporato A., 2008. Spring frost risk in a changing climate. Geophysical Research Letters 35m L12703. DOI 10.2478/v10117-012-0032-6.

Rochette P., Bélanger G., Castonguay Y., Bootsma A., Mongrain D, 2004. Climate change and winter damage to fruit trees in eastern Canada. Canadian Journal of Plant Sciences 84: 1113-1125. DOI 10.4141/P03-177.

Rochette P., Bélanger G., Castonguay Y., Bootsma A., Mongrain D, 2004. Climate change and winter damage to fruit trees in eastern Canada. Canadian Journal of Plant Sciences 84: 1113-1125. DOI 10.4141/P03-177.

Scheifinger H., Menzel A., Koch E., Peter C., 2003. Trends of spring time frost events and phenological dates in Central Europe. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 74: 41-51. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-002-0704-6.

Scheifinger H., Menzel A., Koch E., Peter C., 2003. Trends of spring time frost events and phenological dates in Central Europe. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 74: 41-51. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-002-0704-6.

Ustrnul Z., Czekierda D., 2009. Atlas of extreme meteorological phenomena and synoptic situations in Poland. IMGW, Warszawa.

Ustrnul Z., Czekierda D., 2009. Atlas of extreme meteorological phenomena and synoptic situations in Poland. IMGW, Warszawa.

Ustrnul Z., Czekierda D., Wypych A., 2010. Extreme values of air temperature in Poland according to different atmospheric circulation classifications. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 35: 429-436. DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2009.12.012.

Ustrnul Z., Czekierda D., Wypych A., 2010. Extreme values of air temperature in Poland according to different atmospheric circulation classifications. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 35: 429-436. DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2009.12.012.

Werner P.C., Gerstengarbe F-W., 2010. Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas (1881-2009) nach Paul Hess und Helmut Brezowsky, 7. verbesserte und ergänzte Auflage. PIK Report No. 119.

Werner P.C., Gerstengarbe F-W., 2010. Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas (1881-2009) nach Paul Hess und Helmut Brezowsky, 7. verbesserte und ergänzte Auflage. PIK Report No. 119.

Wibig J., 2001. The influence of atmospheric circulation on spatial distribution of air temperature and precipitation anomalies over Europe. Wyd. Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego, Łódź.

Wibig J., 2001. The influence of atmospheric circulation on spatial distribution of air temperature and precipitation anomalies over Europe. Wyd. Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego, Łódź.

Winkler J.A., Thornsbury S, Artavio M., Chmielewski F.M., Kirschke D., Lee S., Liszewska M., Loveridge S., Tan P.- N., Zhong S., Andresen J.A., Black J.R., Kurlus R., Nizalov D., Olynk N., Ustrnul Z., Zavalloni C., Bisanz J.M., Bujdosó G., Fusina L., Henniges Y., Hilsendegen P., Lar K., Malarzewski L., Moeller T., Murmylo R., Niedzwiedz T., Nizalova O., Prawiranata H., Rothwell N., van Ravensway J., von Witzke H., Woods M., 2010. Multi-regional climate change assessments for international market systems with long-term investments: A conceptual framework. Climatic Change 103: 445-470. DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9781-1.

Winkler J.A., Thornsbury S, Artavio M., Chmielewski F.M., Kirschke D., Lee S., Liszewska M., Loveridge S., Tan P.- N., Zhong S., Andresen J.A., Black J.R., Kurlus R., Nizalov D., Olynk N., Ustrnul Z., Zavalloni C., Bisanz J.M., Bujdosó G., Fusina L., Henniges Y., Hilsendegen P., Lar K., Malarzewski L., Moeller T., Murmylo R., Niedzwiedz T., Nizalova O., Prawiranata H., Rothwell N., van Ravensway J., von Witzke H., Woods M., 2010. Multi-regional climate change assessments for international market systems with long-term investments: A conceptual framework. Climatic Change 103: 445-470. DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9781-1.

Winkler J.A., Cinderich A.B., Ddumba S.D., Doubler D., Nikolic J., Perdinan, Pollyea A.M., Young D.R., Zavalloni C., 2013a. Understanding the Impacts of Climate on Perennial Crops. In: Pielke R.A. Sr. (ed), Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources, Volume 2: Vulnerability of Food Resources to Climate. Elsevier Inc., Academic Press: 37-49.

Winkler J.A., Cinderich A.B., Ddumba S.D., Doubler D., Nikolic J., Perdinan, Pollyea A.M., Young D.R., Zavalloni C., 2013a. Understanding the Impacts of Climate on Perennial Crops. In: Pielke R.A. Sr. (ed), Climate Vulnerability: Understanding and Addressing Threats to Essential Resources, Volume 2: Vulnerability of Food Resources to Climate. Elsevier Inc., Academic Press: 37-49.

Winkler, J.A., Andresen J.A., Bisanz J., Guentchev G.S., Nugent J., Piromsopa K., Rothwell N., Zavalloni C., Clark J., Min H.K., Pollyea A., Prawiranta H., 2013b. Michigan’s Tart Cherry Industry: Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Change In: Pryor S.C. (ed) Climate Change in the Midwest: Impacts, Risks, Vulnerability and Adaptation, Indiana University Press: 104-116.

Winkler, J.A., Andresen J.A., Bisanz J., Guentchev G.S., Nugent J., Piromsopa K., Rothwell N., Zavalloni C., Clark J., Min H.K., Pollyea A., Prawiranta H., 2013b. Michigan’s Tart Cherry Industry: Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Change In: Pryor S.C. (ed) Climate Change in the Midwest: Impacts, Risks, Vulnerability and Adaptation, Indiana University Press: 104-116.

Yarnal B., 1993. Synoptic climatology in environmental analysis. A primer, Belhaven Press, London and Florida, XV+195 pp.

Yarnal B., 1993. Synoptic climatology in environmental analysis. A primer, Belhaven Press, London and Florida, XV+195 pp.

Żmudzka E., 2004. The Climatic Background of Agricultural Production in Poland (1951-2000). Miscellanea Geographica 1: 127-137.

Żmudzka E., 2004. The Climatic Background of Agricultural Production in Poland (1951-2000). Miscellanea Geographica 1: 127-137.