Keywords
systemic approach
holistic concept
heuristics
holarchy
How to Cite
Abstract
The article discusses one of the contemporary approaches to thinking about the future, i.e. foresight. The authors present the concept of mapping predictive foresight studies onto the holone-holarchy structure. Against this background they identify a programme (project) as the key structural element in the holistic approach to foresight. They also argue that the holarchic approach can be useful when applied to foresight.
References
Antoszkiewicz J. 1982 Metody heurystyczne, Państwowe Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warszawa.
Boyle R., O’Donnell O., O’Riordan J. 2007 Promoting Longer-term Policy thinking, Committee for Public Management Research, Dublin.
B. Net... 2004 B. Net Builder. Map the Past to Predict the Future - about Bayesian Belief Networks, Charles River Analytics, Inc., Cambridge.
Cempel C. 2006 Nowoczesne zagadnienia metodologii i filozofii badań, Poznań.
Edwards M. (b.r.w.) fi Brief History of Holons, Integral World - Exploring Theories of Everything (http://www.integralworld.net).
Feather F. 1989 G-Forces: The 35 Global Forces Restructuring our Future, Summerhill Press 1989.
Goban-Klas T, Sienkiewicz R 1999 Społeczeństwo informacyjne: szanse, zagrożenia, wyzwania, Wydawnictwo Fundacji Postępu Telekomunikacji Kraków.
Jasiński L.J. 2007 Treść i przykłady badań typu foresight, Instytut Nauk Ekonomicznych PAN, Warszawa 2007.
Koestler A. 1967 The Ghost in the Machine, Hutchinson, London.
List D. 2005 Scenario Network Mapping. The Development of a Methodology for Social inguiry, University of South Australia, Adelaide.
Miles I., Keenan M. 2003 Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight, European Foundation, Dublin.
Natke H., Cempel C. 1997 Model-aided Diagnosis of Mechanical Systems, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
Nowa Encyklopedia Powszechna PWN, Warszawa 2004.
Pichler F. (b.r.w.) Searching for Artur Koestler’s Holons - a Systems Theoretical Perspective (http://www.holon.se).
Samuelson W.F., Marks S.G. 1998 Ekonomia menedżerska, Polskie Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warszawa.
Slaughter R.A. 2004 Futures beyond Dystopia: Creating Social Foresight, Routledge, London.
Slaughter R.A. 2005 The Knowledge Base of Future Studies, Foresight International (CD-ROM).
Sudelbucher R. 2007 Software Cells #C: Connections Refined.
Technology... 2005 Technology Foresight. Organization and Methods, t. 1-2, United Nations Industrial Development Organization, Vienna.