Keywords
vulnerability to climate change
spatial diversity
Wielkopolskie Voivodeship
How to Cite
Abstract
This paper presents a proposal for an analysis of spatial differentiation of socio-economic vulnerability to climate change in Wielkopolskie Voivodeship. Vulnerability is a measure currently important in the literature that determines the level to which a given socio-economic system is exposed to bear the consequences of climate changes, and what its adaptive capacity is. This paper considers the socio-economic dimension in examining vulnerability to climate change at the local level. A set of socio-economic indicators describing the characteristics of territorial capital was adopted for the analysis, which then, with the help of indicator methods such as Pearson’s linear correlation, zeroed unitarisation; was prepared to calculate the Hellwig measure. Working on the obtained values of the Hellwig measure, a classification of units based on the arithmetic mean and standard deviation of the measure was carried out. The study showed spatial differentiation in Wielkopolskie Voivodeship in terms of socio-economic vulnerability to climate change. Some of the classified municipalities show a particular predisposition of a socio-economic nature to be adversely affected by climate change (these are municipalities with a very high susceptibility to climate change), which may further lead to the deepening of spatial differentiation between these areas in terms of the impact of socio-economic effects of climate change.
References
Adger W.N. 2006. Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, 16(3): 268-281. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006
Adhav C.A., Chandel B.S., Bhandari G.P., Ram H. 2021. Socio-economic vulnerability to climate change – Index development and mapping for districts in Maharashtra, India. SSRN. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3854297
Bąk A. 2016. Porządkowanie liniowe obiektów metodą Hellwiga i TOPSIS – analiza porównawcza. Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu. Taksonomia, 26: 22-31.
Benson N. 2008. Climate Change, Effects. [W:] S.G. Philander (red.), Encyclopedia of global warming and climate change. SAGE Publications, Inc. USA.
Carter T.R., Fronzek S., Inkinen A., Lahtinen I., Lahtinen M., Mela H., O’Brien K.L., Rosentrater L.D., Ruuhela R., Simonsson L., Terama E. 2016. Characterising vulnerability of the elderly to climate change in the Nordic region. Reg Environ Change, 16: 43-58. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0688-7
Chojnicki Z. 1977. Dylematy kwantyfikacji geografii. [W:] Metody ilościowe i modele w geografii. PWN, Warszawa, s. 9-15.
Churski P., Herodowicz T., Konecka-Szydłowska B., Perdał R. 2019. Czynniki rozwoju w praktyce polityki spójności zorientowanej terytorialnie. [W:] J. Danielewicz, D. Sikora-Fernandez (red.), Zarządzanie rozwojem współczesnych miast. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego, Łódź, s. 141-164. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18778/8142-504-9.08
Confalonieri U.E.C., Marinho D.P., Rodriguez R.E. 2009. Public health vulnerability to climate change in Brazil. Clim Res, 40: 175-186. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00808
Czyż T. 2016. Metoda wskaźnikowa w geografii społeczno-ekonomicznej. Rozwój Regionalny i Polityka Regionalna, 34: 9-19.
Das A. 2013. Mapping the regional variation in potential vulnerability in Indian Agriculture to climate change – An exercise through constructing vulnerability index. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 7.
Diffenbaugh N.S., Burke M. 2019. Global warming has increased global economic inequality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(20): 9808-9813; 116(4): 112-121. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1816020116
Engel K. 2006. Mitigating Global Climate Change in the United States: A Regional Approach. 14. Arizona Legal Studies Discussion Paper. No. 06-01.
Füssel H.M., Klein R.J.T. 2006. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments: An Evolution of Conceptual Thinking. Climatic Change, 75: 301-329. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-0329-3
Galarraga I., Gonzalez-Eguino M., Markandya A. 2011.The Role of Regional Governments in Climate Change Policy. Env. Pol. Gov., 21: 164-182. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/eet.572
Gran Castro J.A., Ramos De Robles S.L. 2019. Climate change and flood risk: vulnerability assessment in an urban poor community in Mexico. Environment and Urbanization, 31(1): 75-92. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0956247819827850
Hahn M.B., Riederer A.M., Foster S.O. 2009. The Livelihood Vulnerability Index: A pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability and change – A case study in Mozambique. Global Environmental Change, 19(1): 74-88. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.11.002
Hajkowicz S.A., Cook H., Littleboy A. 2012. Our Future World: Global Megatrends That Will Change the Way We Live. The 2012 Revision Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization CSIRO, Australia.
Hallegate S., Rozenberg J. 2017. Climate change through a poverty lens. Nature Climate Change, 7: 250-256. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3253
Heltberg R., Bonch-Osmolovskiy M. 2011. Mapping Vulnerability to Climate Change. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 5554. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1754347 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5554
Hinkel J. 2011. Indicators of vulnerability and adaptive capacity: Towards a clarification of the science-policy interface. Global Environmental Change, 21(1): 198-208. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.08.002
Iglesias A., Quiroga S., Moneo M., Garrote L. 2012. From climate change impact to the development of adaptation strategies: Challenges for agriculture in Europe. Climate Change, 112: 143-168. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0344-x
IPCC. 2018. Annex I: Glossary. [W:] J.B.R. Matthews (red.), Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty.
Kasperson R.E., Dow K., Archer E., Caceres D., Downing T., Elmqvist T., Eriksen S., Folke C., Han G., Iyengar K., Vogel C., Wilson K., Ziervogel G. 2005. Vulnerable people and places. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Current State and Trends, 1: 143-164.
Khan F.A., Salman A. 2012. A simple human vulnerability index to climate change hazards for Pakistan. Int J Disaster Risk Sci, 3: 163-176. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-012-0017-z
Kienberger S., Lang S., Zeil P. 2009. Spatial vulnerability units – expert-based spatial modelling of socio-economic vulnerability in the Salzach catchment, Austria. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9: 767-778. h DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-9-767-2009
Kropp J.P., Block A., Reusswig F., Zickfeld K., Schellnhuber H.J. 2006. Semiquantitative Assessment of Regional Climate Vulnerability: The North-Rhine Westphalia Study. Climatic Change, 76: 265-290. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9037-7
Kukuła K. 1999. Metoda unitaryzacji zerowanej na tle wybranych metod normowania cech diagnostycznych. Acta Scientifica Academiae Ostroviensis, 4: 5-31.
Kukuła K., Bogacz D. 2014. Zero Unitarisation Method and its application in Ranking Research in Agriculture. Economic and Regional Studies, 7(3): 5-13.
Malakar K., Mishra T. 2017. Assessing socio-economic vulnerability to climate change: a city-level index-based approach. Climate and Development, 9(4): 348-363. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2016.1154449
Melvin A., Larsen P., Boehlert B., Neumann J., Chinowsky P., Espinet X., Martinich J., Baumann M., Rennels L., Bothner A., Nicolsky D., Marchenko S. 2016. Climate change damages to Alaska public infrastructure and the economics of proactive adaptation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1611056113
Menezes J.A., Confalonieri U., Madureira A.P., Duval I., dos Santos R.B., Margonari C. 2018. Mapping human vulnerability to climate change in the Brazilian Amazon: The construction of a municipal vulnerability index. PLOS ONE, 13(2). 10.1371/journal.pone.0190808 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0190808
Meyer W.B., Guss D.M. 2017. Environmental Determinism: What Is It? [W:] P. Macmillan (red.), Neo-Environmental Determinism. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54232-4
Ministerstwo Środowiska. 2015. Podręcznik adaptacji dla miast. Wytyczne do przygotowania Miejskiego Planu Adaptacji do zmian klimatu.
O’Brien K., Leichenko R., Kelkar U., Venema H., Aandahl G., Tompkins H., Javed A., Bhadwal S., Barg S., Nygaard L., West J. 2004. Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and globalization in India. Global Environmental Change, 14(4): 303-313. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.01.001
Prandecki K. 2012. Rola megatrendów w przewidywaniu przyszłości. Przyszłość. Świat – Europa – Polska, 2: 75-94.
Preston B.L., Yuen E.J., Westaway R.M. 2011. Putting vulnerability to climate change on the map: a review of approaches, benefits, and risks. Sustain Sci, 6: 177-202. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-011-0129-1
Reyer C., Otto I., Adams S., Albrecht T., Baarsch F., Cartsburg M., Coumou D., Eden A., Ludi E., Marcus R., Mengel M., Mosello B., Robinson A., Schleussner C.F., Serdeczna O., Stagl J. 2017. Climate change impacts in Central Asia and their implications for development. Regional Environmental Change, 17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0893-z
Rezai A., Taylor L., Foley D. 2018. Economic Growth, Income Distribution, and Climate Change. Ecological Economics, 146: 164-172. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.10.020
Rucińska D. 2015. Quantification of vulnerability to natural hazards. Review of methods/Kwantyfikacja podatności na zagrożenia naturalne. Przegląd metod. Prace i Studia Geograficzne, 57: 43-53.
Scott D., Hall C.M., Gössling S. 2019. Global tourism vulnerability to climate change. Annals of Tourism Research, 77: 49-61. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2019.05.007
Selin H., Vandeveer S.D. 2005. Canadian-U.S. Environmental Cooperation: Climate Change Networks and Regional Action. American Review of Canadian Studies, 35(2): 353-378. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02722010509481376
Senapati S., Gupta V. 2017. Socio-economic vulnerability due to climate change: Deriving indicators for fishing communities in Mumbai. Marine Policy, 76: 90-97. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.11.023
Sovacool B.K., Brown M.A. 2009. Scaling the policy response to climate change. Policy and Society, 27(4): 317-328. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polsoc.2009.01.003
Tripathi A. 2017. Socioeconomic backwardness and vulnerability to climate change: evidence from Uttar Pradesh state in India. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 60(2): 328-350. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2016.1157059
Victor D., House J., Joy S. 2006. A Madisonian Approach to Climate Policy. Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1113180
Vielmetter G., Sell Y. 2014. Sell Leadership 2030: The Six Megatrends you Need to Understand to Lead Your Company into the Future. Amacon Books, Saranac Lake, New York.
Vincent K. 2004. Creating an Index of Social Vulnerability to Climate Change in Africa. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Working Paper 56.
Wilk J., Jonsson A.C., Rydhagen B., Rani A., Kumar A. 2018. The perspectives of the urban poor in climate vulnerability assessments – The case of Kota, India. Urban Climate, 24: 633-642. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2017.08.004
Yohe G., Tol R.S.J. 2002. Indicators for social and economic coping capacity – Moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity. Global Environmental Change, 12(1): 25-40. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(01)00026-7
Zhang Q., Zhao X., Haiping Tang H. 2019. Vulnerability of communities to climate change: application of the livelihood vulnerability index to an environmentally sensitive region of China. Climate and Development, 11(6): 525-542. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2018.1442808
Žurovec O., Čadro S., Sitaula B.K. 2017. Quantitative Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Rural Municipalities of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Sustainability, 9(7): 1208. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su9071208
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Patryk Kaczmarek
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.