Keywords
procyclicality
financial stability
macroprudential policy
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Abstract
This article aims to analyse the implications of time dimension of systemic risk (procyclicality) on the conduct of macroprudential policy. A multitude of procyclicality factors imply the need for multiple anticyclical tools addressing particular factors. The analysis shows that macroprudential authority should take a proactive stance and analyse financial stability within a longer time horizon, so as not to experience the paradox of financial instability or be subject to inaction bias. Macroprudential supervision should act both during boom (limiting the build-up of systemic risk) and recession (mitigating its materialisation) and, regardless of the financial cycle phase, seek to strengthen resilience of the financial system to shocks. The key to its effectiveness is development of an operational framework and ways to effectively implement its tools, taking intoaccount different attitudes towards procyclicality of the institutions responsible for conducting macroprudential policy.
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